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Post Posted: Jun 11, 2008, 3:36 pm • # 1 


10 people stand in a circle and look at the floor. On the count of three, everyone looks up to somebody else. Each person must choose to look at one of 3 people: The person to the right, the person to the left, the person directly across the circle. When two people make eye contact, both scream. How many distinct ways that silence will occur? What's the probability that no one will scream?
 
 
Post Posted: Jun 13, 2008, 11:51 am • # 2 


Suppose that there 2n people in the circle. Let's join people directly across the circle into n (ordered) pairs. Depending on who the people in such a pair look up to (i.e., left or right neighbor, or the other member of the pair), there are 3\cdot 3 = 9 different types of pairs possible. However, one of these types always results in screaming (when the people in a pair look up to each other). We focus on the remaining 8 types and represent them as vertices in a graph G. It is easy to figure out all types of two adjacent (along the circle) pairs in the circle that are compatible (i.e., that can appear in a silent configuration), we represent them as edges in G.

Now, each silent configuration corresponds to a path on n + 1 vertices and n edges in G, such that the starting and ending vertices correspond to the same pair but with the order of people reversed. It is easy to compute the number of such paths using the adjacency matrix A (of size 8\times 8) of G. For n = 2,3,\dots the number s_n of silent configurations is:
30, 156, 826, 4406, 23562, 126104, 675074, 3614142, ....
They satisfy the following recurrent relation (which is easy to obtain from the characteristic polynomial of A):
s_{n + 4} = 8 s_{n + 3} - 16 s_{n + 2} + 10 s_{n + 1} - s_n
In particular, s_5 = 4406 and the required probability equals
\frac {s_5}{3^{10}} = \frac {4406}{59049}\approx 0.074616
 
 
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