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1989 AIME Problems/Problem 5

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Problem

When a certain biased coin is flipped five times, the probability of getting heads exactly once is not equal to 0 and is the same as that of getting heads exactly twice. Let \frac ij, in lowest terms, be the probability that the coin comes up heads in exactly 3 out of 5 flips. Find i+j.

Solution

Denote the probability of getting a heads in one flip of the biased coins as h. Based upon the problem, note that {5\choose1}(h)^1(1-h)^4 = {5\choose2}(h)^2(1-h)^3. After canceling out terms, we get 1 - h = 2h, so h = \frac{1}{3}. The answer we are looking for is {5\choose3}(h)^3(1-h)^2 = 10\left(\frac{1}{3}\right)^3\left(\frac{2}{3}\right)^2 = \frac{40}{243}, so i+j=40+243 = \mathrm{283}.

See also

1989 AIME (ProblemsResources)
Preceded by
Problem 4
Followed by
Problem 6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Want to learn how to tackle those tough AMC/AIME/Olympiad counting and probability problems? Check out Art of Problem Solving's Intermediate Counting & Probability by David Patrick.
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