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1996 AIME Problems/Problem 6

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Problem

In a five-team tournament, each team plays one game with every other team. Each team has a 50\% chance of winning any game it plays. (There are no ties.) Let \dfrac{m}{n} be the probability that the tournament will product neither an undefeated team nor a winless team, where m and n are relatively prime integers. Find m+n.

Solution

We can use complementary counting: finding the probability that at least one team wins all games or at least one team loses all games.

No more than 1 team can win or lose all games, so at most one team can win all games and at most one team can lose all games.

Now we use PIE:

The probability that one team wins all games is 5\cdot (\frac{1}{2})^4=\frac{5}{16}.

Similarity, the probability that one team loses all games is \frac{5}{16}.

The probability that one team wins all games and another team loses all games is (5\cdot (\frac{1}{2})^4)(4\cdot (\frac{1}{2})^3)=\frac{5}{32}.

\frac{5}{16}+\frac{5}{16}-\frac{5}{32}=\frac{15}{32}

Since this is the opposite of the probability we want, we subtract that from 1 to get \frac{17}{32}.

17+32=\boxed{049}

See also

1996 AIME (ProblemsResources)
Preceded by
Problem 5
Followed by
Problem 7
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
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