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2006 AIME II Problems/Problem 5

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Problem

When rolling a certain unfair six-sided die with faces numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, and 6, the probability of obtaining face F is greater than 1/6, the probability of obtaining the face opposite is less than 1/6, the probability of obtaining any one of the other four faces is 1/6, and the sum of the numbers on opposite faces is 7. When two such dice are rolled, the probability of obtaining a sum of 7 is 47/288. Given that the probability of obtaining face F is m/n, where m and n are relatively prime positive integers, find m+n.

Solution

Without loss of generality, assume that face F has a 6, so the opposite face has a 1. Let A(n) be the probability of rolling a number n on one die and let B(n) be the probability of rolling a number n on the other die. 7 can be obtained by rolling a 2 and 5, 5 and 2, 3 and 4, or 4 and 3. Each has a probability of \frac{1}{6} \cdot \frac{1}{6} = \frac{1}{36}, totaling 4 \cdot \frac{1}{36} = \frac{1}{9}. Subtracting all these probabilities from \frac{47}{288} leaves \frac{15}{288}=\frac{5}{96} chance of getting a 1 on die A and a 6 on die B or a 6 on die A and a 1 on die B:

A(6)\cdot B(1)+B(6)\cdot A(1)=\frac{5}{96}

Since the two dice are identical, B(1)=A(1) and B(6)=A(6) so

\begin{align*}A(1)\cdot A(6)+A(1)\cdot A(6)&=\frac{5}{96}\\A(1)\cdot A(6)&=\frac{5}{192}\end{align*}

Also, we know that A(2)=A(3)=A(4)=A(5)=\frac{1}{6} and that the total probability must be 1, so:

A(1)+4 \cdot \frac{1}{6}+A(6)=\frac{6}{6} \Longrightarrow A(1)+A(6)=\frac{1}{3}

Combining the equations:

\begin{align*}A(6)\left(\frac{1}{3}-A(6)\right)&=\frac{5}{192}\\0 &= 192 \left(A(6)\right)^2 - 64 \left(A(6)\right) +... We know that A(6)>\frac{1}{6}, so it can't be \frac{1}{8}. Therefore, the probability is \frac{5}{24} and the answer is 5+24=\boxed{029}.

Note also that the initial assumption that face F was the face labelled 6 is unnecessary -- we would have carried out exactly the same steps and found exactly the same probability no matter which face it was.

See also

2006 AIME II (ProblemsResources)
Preceded by
Problem 4
Followed by
Problem 6
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Want to learn how to tackle those tough AMC/AIME/Olympiad algebra problems? Check out Art of Problem Solving's Intermediate Algebra by Richard Rusczyk and Mathew Crawford. Over 1600 problems!
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